Predicting ODI Cricket Result

Abstract

Result of one Day International (ODI) cricket match depends on various factors related to scoring as well as the strengths of the two teams. While some of these factors have been well analyzed in the literature, others have yet to be investigated. In this paper, statistical significance for a range of variables that could explain the outcome of an ODI cricket match is explored. In particular, home field advantage, game plan (batting first or fielding first), match type (day or day & night), past performance of team will be key interests in our investigation. For purposes of model-building, logistic regression is applied retrospectively to data already obtained from previously played matches.

Keywords: logistic regression, log likelihood, winning margin.