US President Trump Relied ON Israel's Begin Doctrine TO CANCEL The Nuclear Deal And Iran's Options Are limited: Either Abandon Its Ballistic Missile Program And Stop Supporting The Armed Factions IN Iraq, Syria, Yemen And Lebanon? Or The Starvation OF

Mohamed Aziz Abdul-Hassan Al-BAYATI

Abstract


The hints of the presidential team close to US President Donald Trump undoubtedly confirm that Trump is determined to make a fateful decision on May 8 to reform or cancel the Iranian nuclear deal

In his historic speech today, Trump will say a very important phrase summarizing the US strategy and the axis of the tripartite Israeli-British-French alliance in the next stage, both in the Syrian and Lebanese scenes, or in the possible confrontation with Iran under the escalating Israeli-Iranian tension on the Syrian scene

Mr. Trump said it in one word: The number one priority for me is the cancellation of the disastrous agreement with Iran

It is the worst document ever seen

Frankly, this deal is an embarrassment to the United States

I have studied this subject in all its details. Believe me, it is a good agreement but rather an agreement?

In conjunction with a meeting of a number of American and European diplomats on the sidelines of the "Munich Security Conference" which took place from 16 to 18 February 2018

To try to find ways to curb Iran's destabilizing activities, some tried to persuade the US administration to extend the waiver of US sanctions, which expires on May 12, but rejected the offer because it was free of any guarantees.

If key countries such as France, Britain and Germany are looking for a way to start negotiations properly, one of the strong options is to impose new EU sanctions on Iranian missile development companies linked by the UN arms trafficking commission to Yemen?

And on 13 February, 2018

French President Emmanuel Macaron said that the spread of Iranian missiles inside Syria and Yemen is a threat to allies in the region, especially Saudi Arabia

MCCRON called for Iran to be "monitored for its ballistic missiles" and proposed new sanctions on Iran's ballistic missile program.

Such action at the broader European Union level would send a strong message that Europe sees Iranian missile proliferation as a threat and is ready to work with the United States to address it

What would mean the removal of US President Donald Trump from Iran's nuclear deal on May 8, 2018?

What are its implications?

President Trump announced on May 8, 2018

The United States will withdraw from the Iranian nuclear agreement and in the next few minutes I will sign a presidential memorandum to start imposing US sanctions against the Iranian regime. We will make sure that these economic sanctions are the highest in terms of rigor and any country that will help Iran in its nuclear program will also be subject to sanctions.

America will not be exposed or hostage to Iran's nuclear blackmail?

But the central question here is the implications of the cancellation of the Iranian nuclear agreement.

US President Trump imposed the toughest economic sanctions on the Iranian regime, but not direct sanctions?

Why?

First: because it is secondary sanctions by targeting international banks dealing with the Iranian oil sector?

Companies and banks will have three to six months to end trade ties with Iran

Will it end up imposing sanctions on America's allies if they deal with them in the future?

Second: The Iranian agreement was obtained to restrict Iran's nuclear activity through several items, the most important of which are:

Reducing Iran's uranium stockpile

Stop the operation of the Arak facility used to make plutonium that can be used to make nuclear weapons

To allow extensive inspections by the IAEA to verify that Iran is adhering to the items

But what does the US withdrawal mean in practice, not by default?

Iran's nuclear deal will remain in force and why is America one of several parties to that agreement?

Therefore Iranian President ROHANI said:

That his country will abide by the terms of the agreement if other countries such as France, Germany ... ETC signed the agreement to abide by it?

ROWHANI also said:

Iran is ready to enrich uranium if the Europeans cannot convince Iran that staying in the deal is worth it?

However, US President Trump cancels Iran's nuclear deal and its European partner states are all still committed to it. Trump's sanctions have seemed inaccurate and without strategy and target European companies and banks that are supposed to be allies of Washington.

Since the easing of international sanctions against Iran, European companies have been quick to enter the Iranian market, most notably:

German car company Daimler sells about 40,000 cars a year to Iran

Italian oil and gas company SAIPEM has signed an agreement with Iran worth five billion US dollars

European Airbus, which promised to supply Iran with 100 passenger planes

It remains to be seen whether the cancellation of the nuclear agreement will help accelerate Iran's economic collapse. Will this collapse contribute to keeping the United States from going to war against Iran? No one can define the borders and lines and parties to participate in them or know their international and regional repercussions in the Middle East, which is already under security.


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